I was alerted to this interesting viewpoint on the Jihad by a good friend in Australia. It has been written by Laurent Murawiec (Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute, Washington DC). I'd like to share it with you.
Deterrence works because one is able credibly to threaten the center of gravity of the enemy: the threat of inflicting unacceptable losses upon him, whether in a bar brawl or in nuclear escalation. The calculus deterrence relies upon is: is it worth it? Is the Price/Earning Ratio of the contemplated action so hugely negative that it would wipe out the capital? Deterrence works if the price to be paid by the party to be deterred hugely exceeds his expected earnings. But deterrence only works if the enemy is able and willing to enter the same calculus. If the enemy plays by other rules and calculates by other means, he will not be deterred. There was nothing the Philistines could have done to deter Samson. If the calculus is: I exchange my worthless earthly life against the triumph of Allah on earth, and an eternity of bliss for me, if the enemy wishes to be dead, if to him the Apocalypse is desirable, he will not be deterred.Mark Alexander
When Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was the Mayor of Tehran, he insistently proposed that the main thoroughfares of Tehran should be widened so that, he explained, on the day of his reappearance, the Hidden Imam, Mohamed ibn Hassan, who went into the great occultation in 941 AD could tread spacious avenues. More recently, he told the Indian Foreign Minister that “in two years, everything will be settled,” which the visiting dignitary at first mistook to mean that Iran expected to possess nuclear weapons in two years; he was later bemused to learn what Ahmadinejad had meant, to wit, that the Mahdi would appear in two years, at which points all worldly problems would disappear.
This attitude, truly, is not new, nor should it surprise us: religious notions and their estranged cousins, ideological representations, determine not only their believers’ beliefs but also their believers’ actions. Reality, as it were, is invaded by belief, and belief in turn shapes the believer’s reality. The difference between the religious and the ideologically religious is this: the religious believer accepts that reality is a given, whereas the fanatic gambles everything on a pseudo-reality of what ought to be. The religious believer accepts reality and works at improving it, the fanatic rejects reality, refuses to pass any compromise with it and tries to destroy it and replace it with his fantasy. Deterring Those Who Are Already Dead
7 comments:
Some minor points.
Islam is a unique religon as it seeks Utopia in the present. To the bestof my knowledge all other religions have Utopia as a reward for a just life or messianic age.
The Utopian posses a divine truth and as posser of that truth is entitled to rights. I am not a Utopian and the entire notion of poll taxes is abhorent to me. However, we had a jihadi on my blog
claim it is there God sanctioned right.
Under Islam and Communism rights belong to the believers. The best the rest of us can hope for is tolerance. Under Sharia even that is subject to revocation at the whim of the believers.
The way out of this mess is obvious but will never happen. Step one is dealing with Marxists head on. People like the CPT teams violate laws of the United States
against individuals interfering in Foriegn affairs.
For over a year, I've been saying that those who are willing to commit suicide for their 72 virgins (or raisins, depending on the translation) hold a position with which there is no compromise or deterrence.
The battle we face today differs from the Cold War, in that the Communists wanted to stay alive. Jihadists don't!
I love this sentence: The religious believer accepts reality and works at improving it, the fanatic rejects reality, refuses to pass any compromise with it and tries to destroy it and replace it with his fantasy.
Now, can we get the pc and mutli-culti West to understand the significance of the above sentence?
Oh, and the Left will NEVER understand that sentence. Beak is making that point, if I interpret his comment correctly.
Yes, the parallels between communism and Islam are many with the exception that AOW notes: The battle we face today differs from the Cold War, in that the Communists wanted to stay alive. Jihadists don't!
I linked to the fellow’s article at IBA a while back but, of course, it is easy to miss. I’m glad that the link is being passed around. The guy’s got guts enough to tell the truth without holding back.
But Americans (and our UK cousins) still believe in the dream of a moderate Islam. I can’t fault their heart but I wish they’d use their heads a bit more.
Jason,
Americans (and our UK cousins) still believe in the dream of a moderate Islam. I can’t fault their heart but I wish they’d use their heads a bit more.
That dream is a dangerous fantasy.
Jason:
But Americans (and our UK cousins) still believe in the dream of a moderate Islam.
Yes, alas they do. And it appears to be very difficult to disabuse them of that notion, too!
Indeed, dreams divorced from reality are dangerous. And it's been tough to wake people up. Tougher than I had hoped. But I don't give up.
PS It's good to see Pastorius post this again on IBA
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